BANGLADESH INSTITUTE OF INTERNATIONAL AND STRATEGIC STUDIES

THE ARAB SPRING AND ITS CONSEQUENCES

Author: Mohammad Jasim Uddin

DOI Link: https://www.doi.org/10.56888/BIISSj2012v33n3a5

ABSTRACT

This paper defines the Arab Spring, identifies the rationale and discusses the consequences of the Arab Spring. While a wave of socio-political and economic change seems to come in the Arab world, regime change (as in Egypt) could be obvious with adequate reforms such as new constitution or elections. How democracy would be established in the ‘no democracy region’ is a matter of concern. If democracy is introduced in the Arabian Peninsula without its true exercise, the Arab Spring could produce uncertainty, insecurity, civil war, human rights violations, terrorism and so on. The other concerns lie with the relations between the ‘global war on terror’ and the Arab Spring, and between Israel and the Arab Spring. The consequences of the Arab Spring also depend on internal dynamics. Whatever the responses from the global forces, the real fact regarding the consequences of the Arab Spring is that the West would play a vital role in the Arabian Peninsula. Therefore, it is too early to have a comprehensive consequence about the Arab Spring.