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Abstract
This article provides a conceptual analysis of naval expenditure and its effect on actual naval capability. It argues against a simplistic view that equates high levels of spending with high levels of capability. The study identifies and analyzes the key attributes of naval expenditure, distinguishing between spending on personnel, operations and maintenance, and procurement of new platforms and technologies. The research posits that the *composition* of naval spending is as important as its overall level. The paper explores how different spending priorities can lead to very different types of naval forces, from a large but technologically obsolete force to a smaller but more modern and effective one. It also discusses the importance of factors that are not easily captured in expenditure data, such as training, morale, and strategic doctrine, which are crucial determinants of real capability. The analysis concludes that a more nuanced, perception-based assessment of how resources are allocated is necessary to understand the true effect of naval expenditure on a nation's maritime power.
Full Text
How is naval capability created? While budget size is a common metric, this paper argues for a more sophisticated, perception-based understanding of the relationship between naval expenditure and actual capability. The study begins by critiquing the simplistic approach of just comparing the defense budgets of different navies. The core of the article is the development of an analytical framework that breaks down naval expenditure into its key attributes. The first attribute analyzed is personnel costs. The paper explores how a navy that spends a very high proportion of its budget on salaries and pensions may have little left for modernization. The second attribute is operations and maintenance (O&M). The study argues that adequate O&M spending is crucial for ensuring that a navy's ships can actually go to sea and that its sailors are well-trained. The third, and most high-profile, attribute is procurement. The paper examines the choices that navies make in acquiring new platforms, from aircraft carriers to submarines, and how these choices reflect their strategic priorities. Beyond these budgetary categories, the paper introduces the critical importance of intangible factors that are not directly measured by expenditure, such as the quality of leadership, the soundness of strategic doctrine, and the morale of the sailors. The findings lead to a clear conclusion: to truly assess a navy's capability, one must look beyond the simple dollar figures and undertake a more qualitative, holistic analysis of how it spends its money and how it prepares for war.